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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 53%
Draw 27.4%
Atlético Goianiense 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
22.6%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.6%
22.2%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.2%
11.1%
16.7%
São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 56.3% – 96.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 30. Joao Moreira 32. Ferraresi N. 35. Sabino 36. Patryck 11. Rodrigo Nestor 20. Marcos Antonio 26. Liziero 15. Michel Araujo 27. Wellington Rato 17. Andre Silva
1. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Maguinho 3. Adriano Martins 4. Pedro Henrique 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Rhaldney 8. Baralhas 10. Shaylon 7. Cruz A. 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Derek
Substitutes
21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 47. Ferreirinha 37. Henrique Carmo 34. Igor O. G. 31. Juan Santos 10. Luciano 23. Rafael (G) 13. Rafinha 5. Robert Arboleda 18. Rodriguinho 39. William Gomes
18. Campbell J. 20. Eli 12. Emerson Junior (G) 19. Jan Hurtado 15. Luiz Felipe 13. Luiz Gustavo 14. Marcao 17. Randerson 16. Rodallega Y.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.
Umberto Louzer
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Andre Silva ⚽, Wellington Rato (A),
42', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cruz A. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
46', Derek ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
53', Baralhas 🟨,
59', Liziero 🟨,
67', Liziero ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
72', Michel Araujo ↓, Luciano ↑,
72', Joao Moreira ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
77', Baralhas ↓, Eli ↑,
80', Marcos Antonio ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
81', Wellington Rato ↓, Erick ↑,
87', Maguinho ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
Recent matches São Paulo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético GO is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia
(Injury)
There will not play in Atlético GO: Bruno Tubarao
(Injury)
Janderson
(Red Card)
Last 12 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-12.
Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
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Jandrei (G) 
Joao Moreira 
Ferraresi N. 
Michel Araujo 
Bobadilla D. 
Robert Arboleda 
Campbell J. 
Rodallega Y. 
Zubeldia L. 
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