Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Atlético Hidalgo		Avispones de Chilpancingo

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.47	2.16
	2.89	3.59	2.16	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.91	3.74	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.37)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Hidalgo
31.7%

Draw
26%

Avispones de Chilpancingo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Hidalgo's form might have worsened.

Avispones de Chilpancingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avispones de Chilpancingo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Hidalgo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Hidalgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avispones de Chilpancingo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Hidalgo - Avispones de Chilpancingo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Hidalgo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 🟥,
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

In recent matches, Atlético Hidalgo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chilpancingo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chilpancingo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Hidalgo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Hidalgo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Canamy - Atlético Hidalgo	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Ciervos	2:3 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Atlético Hidalgo	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Club Calor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TWLLW
- Avispones de Chilpancingo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Cordobés	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Halcones - Avispones de Chilpancingo	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Real Apodaca - Avispones de Chilpancingo	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.10.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Atlético Hidalgo	3:1

Atlético Hidalgo - Avispones de Chilpancingo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide