Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 7

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Plazas Alcid (Neiva)

Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)


	Atlético Huila		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.87	3.25
	2.2	2.85	3.5
	2.28	2.95	3.3
	2.34	2.87	3.87
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.19	3.13	3.56
	2.24	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.95)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.49 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
41.6%

Draw
31.7%

Boyacá Chicó
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

29.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Huila's performance.

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boyacá Chicó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Huila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boyacá Chicó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	50%	5.6%

Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 1.

Atlético Huila is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boyacá Chicó is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Boyacá Chicó have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
27.02.23	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	3:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.02.23	Atlético Huila - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.02.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.02.23	Orsomarso - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Huila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
27.02.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
23.02.23	Real Cartagena - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 penalties ✺
15.02.23	Boyacá Chicó - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.02.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	3:1 ✺
31.01.23	Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
21.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0
18.11.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	0:2
15.11.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 penalties
11.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0
16.08.22	Atlético Huila - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
08.04.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	1:0
Colombian Primera A
09.11.18	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Huila	2:2

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