Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Boyacá Chicó		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.15	4.25	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4.77
	1.97	3.13	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.91	3.34	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	4.23 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
48.7%

Draw
29.3%

Deportivo Pereira
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boyacá Chicó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pereira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Boyacá Chicó will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Denis D. (G) 2. Saldana A. 25. Palma J. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 7. Montano I. 20. Valencia N. 28. Diaz J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 9. Molina J. (C) 13. Martinez Y.	1. Mosquera J. (G) 20. Monroy J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 2. Urrea S. 29. Renteria R. 25. Delgado F. 21. Pacheco W. (C) 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 3. Rengifo N. 10. Acosta S. 19. Aguirre M.
Substitutes
6. Aedo A. 17. Caicedo O. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 14. Campo Chara J. A. 22. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 27. Jordan J. 29. Ruiz D.	12. Betancourth J. (G) 30. Bovone T. 37. Diaz M. 11. Largacha J. 13. Morales J. 8. Mosquera F. 88. Quinones Y. 31. Rodriguez J. 24. Urrea J.
Coaches
Gomez J.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Rengifo N. 🟨,
10', Diaz J. 🟨,
45+3', Banguero A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez Y. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
51', Caicedo O. 🟨,
55', Renteria R. 🟨,
57', Saldana A. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
60', Moreno Gomez E. A. 🟨,
68', Montano I. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
70', Acosta S. ↓, Quinones Y. ↑,
72', Banguero A. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Diaz J. ⚽, Jordan J. (A),
77', Pacheco W. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
78', Aguirre M. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
85', Renteria R. ↓, Bovone T. ↑,
88', Bermudez Correa J. A. 🟨,
90+1', Largacha J. 🟨,
90+3', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Boyacá Chicó is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.09.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
06.04.25	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
06.08.24	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
05.02.24	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	1:2
05.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
12.02.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	3:1
16.03.21	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	0:0

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