Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 19

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	Atlético Huila		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.62	3.41	2.16
	3.62	3.41	2.15
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.52	3.24	2.13
	3.45	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.74)	3.28 ↑ (3.22)	2.11 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
26.8%

Draw
28.6%

Independiente Santa Fe
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Huila's form might have worsened.

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Huila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 27. Lerma J. 5. Ariza A. 4. Caicedo L. 26. Rivera A. 7. Hernandez S. (C) 80. Angulo Castro B. 6. Diaz B. 11. De La Rosa W. 9. Caicedo J. F. 10. Vinicius M.	1. Silva A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Aja J. 4. Ramirez Pisciotti D. 29. Millan J. 7. Rivera H. 20. Velasquez Y. 70. Batalla E. 23. Sambueza F. 22. Valencia E. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
Substitutes
19. Diaz T. 12. Figueroa J. (G) 18. Guerrero E. 23. Medina B. 25. Mendez J. (G) 35. Romero J. 14. Sequeda Arroyo M.	31. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 12. Espitia J. (G) 16. Garavito M. 8. Manjarres R. 17. Marrugo C. 9. Moreno Y. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R.
Coaches
Corredor D.	Peirano P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 0.

Atlético Huila is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Fe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Fe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
23.10.23	América de Cali - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
16.10.23	Atlético Huila - Envigado	3:3 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
21.10.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:5 ✺
Colombian Copa
04.10.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.09.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
14.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	5:0
24.10.21	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
09.10.19	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	0:0
17.04.19	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:3
08.09.18	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
17.03.18	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	0:1
22.07.17	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2

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