Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Atlético Huila		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.61	5.65
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.56	5.1
	1.73	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.27)	5.16 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Huila
55.4%

Draw
26.4%

Envigado
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Huila's performance.

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Envigado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Huila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Envigado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Atlético Huila - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético Huila will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Huila: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 27. Lerma J. 17. Mosquera Y. 23. Medina B. 4. Caicedo L. 6. Diaz B. 10. Vinicius M. 7. Hernandez S. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 8. Tavera R. 11. De La Rosa W.	23. Parra J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 17. Rodallega Y. 14. Jaramillo F. (C) 6. Palacio J. 70. Charrupi F. 5. Cadavid A. 26. Arcila D. 13. Garces J. 34. Diaz L. 11. Espana Alvarez R. C.
Substitutes
80. Angulo Castro B. 5. Ariza A. 9. Caicedo J. F. 12. Figueroa J. (G) 18. Guerrero E. 26. Rivera A. 14. Sequeda Arroyo M.	24. Celedon Y. 19. Palacios A. 37. Palacios H. 8. Parra W. 20. Paternina C. 12. Tovar A. (G) 29. Zapata D.
Coaches
Corredor D.	Perez D.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Envigado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético Huila is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Atlético Huila won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Huila won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
08.10.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
21.09.23	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLT
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
07.10.23	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	2:3 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético Nacional - Envigado	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Envigado - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Envigado - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
01.05.23	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:1
21.11.21	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:1
05.10.19	Atlético Huila - Envigado	0:0
14.04.19	Envigado - Atlético Huila	1:1
28.10.18	Atlético Huila - Envigado	2:1
22.04.18	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:3
21.10.17	Envigado - Atlético Huila	1:2

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