The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid 49.7%
Draw 24.3%
Manchester United 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
24.7%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
25%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Atlético Madrid - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Man Utd will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Atlético (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Atlético is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Man Utd have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Man Utd has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Atlético is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
Atl. Madrid: 1.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Madrid - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.36%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
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