Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Africa	Canal+, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Argentina	Disney+
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Australia	Stan Sport
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
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Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Fulham		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.75	2.00
	3.40	3.70	2.05
	3.80	3.65	1.95
	3.65	3.84	2.05
	3.41	3.94	2.07	Watch
	3.60	3.80	2.01
	3.70	3.88	2.05	Watch
	3.60	3.90	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	3.81 ↑ (3.81)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
26.9%

Draw
25.3%

Manchester United
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Fulham aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	16%	68%

Fulham - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Man Utd will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Man Utd (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 22. Affengruber D. 3. Bassey C. (C) 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 19. Charles S. 14. Bobb O. 24. King J. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Garcia G.	1. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 37. Mainoo K. 18. Tielemans Y. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 9. Rashford M. 10. Cunha M.
Substitutes
5. Andersen J. 11. Kevin 15. Larsson H. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 20. Manuel Angel 8. Palacios C. 9. Rodrigo Muniz 30. Sessegnon R. 32. Smith Rowe E.	17. Andrey Santos 20. Baleba C. 12. Darlow K. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 31. Lacey S. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Arbeloa A.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', King J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Castagne T. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Martinez Li. (Own goal),
71', Bobb O. ↓, Kevin ↑,
71', Iwobi A. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
77', Berge S. ↓, Larsson H. ↑,
77', Rashford M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
80', Garcia G. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
80', King J. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
81', Mainoo K. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
84', Shaw L. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
85', Rodrigo Muniz 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Cunha M. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Man Utd may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Man Utd has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Man Utd holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Fulham: Cairney T. (Knee Injury) Tete K. (Concussion).

Confirmed absences for Man Utd: Diallo A. (Injury) Heaton T. (Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fulham: Sessegnon R. (Groin Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Man Utd: Baleba C. (Ankle Injury) Shaw L. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fulham has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:40 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fulham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 4:14 goals (averaging 0.5:1.8 per game).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Fulham - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Manchester United - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.81%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English League Cup
15.09.26	West Ham United - Fulham	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Liverpool - Fulham	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Fulham - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLW
- Manchester United
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.02.26	Manchester United - Fulham	3:2
24.08.25	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2 penalties
English Premier League
26.01.25	Fulham - Manchester United	0:1
16.08.24	Manchester United - Fulham	1:0
24.02.24	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2
04.11.23	Fulham - Manchester United	0:1

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