Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 6
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Hungary	21:00	Arena 4
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Iran	22:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Italy	21:00	Como TV
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Manchester United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.10	3.75	Watch
	1.83	4.10	3.75
	1.79	3.90	3.80	Watch
	1.88	4.08	3.94
	1.64	4.61	4.53	Watch
	1.85	4.00	3.85
	1.81	4.09	3.94	Watch
	1.86	4.10	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	4.12 ↓ (4.15)	3.9 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
52.5%

Draw
23.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Brighton & Hove (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 3 - 75%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Darlow K. (G) 2. Dalot D. 15. Yoro L. 26. Heaven A. 3. Mazraoui N. 18. Tielemans Y. (C) 17. Andrey Santos 31. Lacey S. 7. Mount M. 9. Rashford M. 30. Sesko B.	23. Steele J. (G) 44. Vuskovic L. 4. Struijk P. 21. Boscagli O. 20. Costinha 14. Andres C. 13. Gross P. (C) 3. Hadjam J. 33. O'Riley M. 35. Yalcouye M. 19. Kostoulas C.
Substitutes
41. Amass H. 10. Cunha M. 8. Fernandes B. 39. Fletcher T. 1. Lammens S. (G) 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 11. Zirkzee J.	26. Ayari Y. 12. David P. 29. De Cuyper M. 5. Dunk L. 25. Gomez D. 24. Kadioglu F. 15. Osman I. 10. Rutter G. 1. Verbruggen B. (G)
Coaches
Carrick M.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Lacey S. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Mount M. ⚽,
43', Andres C. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Kostoulas C. ⚽, Hadjam J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Hadjam J. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Gross P. ⚽, Vuskovic L. (A),
66', Sesko B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
66', Andrey Santos ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
66', Lacey S. ↓, Mbeumo B. ↑,
66', Yalcouye M. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
66', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, De Cuyper M. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
73', Mount M. ↓, Fernandes B. ↑,
74', Hadjam J. ↓, Kadioglu F. ↑,
75', Boscagli O. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
80', Rashford M. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
82', Kostoulas C. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
85', Ayari Y. 🟨,
90+1', De Cuyper M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.

In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Man Utd is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A. (Injury) Heaton T. (Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hinshelwood J. (Injury) Minteh Y. (Injury) Mitoma K. (Hamstring Injury) Svoboda M. (Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Knee Injury) Yohanna Z. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Baleba C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Rutter G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Brighton: 2.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester United - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hull City - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
13.09.26	Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:5 ✺
05.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tromsø	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
23.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:3
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2
19.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1
19.05.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:2
16.09.23	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3

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