The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester United 52.5%
Draw 23.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
22.8%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
23.2%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Manchester United aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.6%
13%
4.3%
Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.25 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Brighton & Hove (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Manchester United will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 3 - 75%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Darlow K. (G) 2. Dalot D. 15. Yoro L. 26. Heaven A. 3. Mazraoui N. 18. Tielemans Y. (C) 17. Andrey Santos 31. Lacey S. 7. Mount M. 9. Rashford M. 30. Sesko B.
23. Steele J. (G) 44. Vuskovic L. 4. Struijk P. 21. Boscagli O. 20. Costinha 14. Andres C. 13. Gross P. (C) 3. Hadjam J. 33. O'Riley M. 35. Yalcouye M. 19. Kostoulas C.
Substitutes
41. Amass H. 10. Cunha M. 8. Fernandes B. 39. Fletcher T. 1. Lammens S. (G) 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 11. Zirkzee J.
26. Ayari Y. 12. David P. 29. De Cuyper M. 5. Dunk L. 25. Gomez D. 24. Kadioglu F. 15. Osman I. 10. Rutter G. 1. Verbruggen B. (G)
Coaches
Carrick M.
Hurzeler F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Lacey S. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Mount M. ⚽,
43', Andres C. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Kostoulas C. ⚽, Hadjam J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Hadjam J. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Gross P. ⚽, Vuskovic L. (A),
66', Sesko B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
66', Andrey Santos ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
66', Lacey S. ↓, Mbeumo B. ↑,
66', Yalcouye M. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
66', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, De Cuyper M. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
73', Mount M. ↓, Fernandes B. ↑,
74', Hadjam J. ↓, Kadioglu F. ↑,
75', Boscagli O. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
80', Rashford M. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
82', Kostoulas C. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
85', Ayari Y. 🟨,
90+1', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.
In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Man Utd is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A.
(Injury)
Heaton T.
(Injury)
Ugarte M.
(Knee Injury)
de Ligt M.
(Back Injury)
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ferguson E.
(Ankle Injury)
Hinshelwood J.
(Injury)
Minteh Y.
(Injury)
Mitoma K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Svoboda M.
(Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Wieffer M.
(Knee Injury)
Yohanna Z.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
There are questionable in Man Utd: Baleba C.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Azeez F.
(Abdominal strain)
Rutter G.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).
Outrights of English League Cup for now
Brighton: 4.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Manchester United - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.