Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Suriname	QN Sports, SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Manchester United		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.15
	2.95	3.70	2.20
	3.1	3.7	2.18
	3.15	3.83	2.24
	3.11	3.89	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.75	2.2
	3.19	3.94	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.8	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
31.1%

Draw
25.3%

Manchester City
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.9%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Manchester United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.7%	35.1%	35.1%

Manchester United - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Man City will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 35.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 19.7% – 50.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.43) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Man Utd (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Man Utd (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Man City (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Cards O/U 4 - over (1.78) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 97%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Man City (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 13. Dorgu P. 18. Tielemans Y. 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 9. Rashford M. 10. Cunha M.	1. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 6. Guehi M. 3. Dias R. (C) 24. Gvardiol J. 17. Fernandez E. 5. Anderson E. 47. Foden P. 10. Cherki R. 42. Semenyo A. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
17. Andrey Santos 12. Darlow K. (G) 26. Heaven A. 31. Lacey S. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 30. Sesko B. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.	37. Allan Elias 32. Bouaddi A. 45. Khusanov A. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 7. Ndiaye I. 33. O'Reilly N. 28. Rulli G. (G) 22. Vitor Reis
Coaches
Carrick M.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Foden P. 🟥,
45+1', Maresca E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cherki R. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,
67', Tielemans Y. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
79', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
80', Fernandez E. 🟨,
81', Maguire H. 🟨,
82', Fernandez E. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
83', Rashford M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.

Recent performances by Man Utd have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Man City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Man Utd: Baleba C. (Ankle Injury) Diallo A. (Injury) Heaton T. (Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Doku J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: O'Reilly N. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 17.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13:5	8	15
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hull City - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Manchester United - Milan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWLL
- Manchester City
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Porto - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Manchester City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
English FA Community Shield
16.08.26	Arsenal - Manchester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
17.01.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	2:0
14.09.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0
06.04.25	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:0
15.12.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	1:2
English FA Community Shield
10.08.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	2:1 penalties
English FA Cup
25.05.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	1:2
English Premier League
03.03.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:1

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