Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	17:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	15:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	See, Viaplay
Estonia	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	09:00	Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	15:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	13:00	SÝN Sport
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Ireland	14:00	NOW
Israel	16:00	Sport 1
Italy	15:00	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	07:00	FOX+, FOX One
Moldova	16:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	19:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	14:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	14:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	10:00	QN Sports, SCCN
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	15:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	16:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	14:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.88
	2.50	3.40	2.80
	2.48	3.50	2.75
	2.57	3.45	2.90
	2.59	3.51	2.78	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.85
	2.66	3.33	2.74	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
37.8%

Draw
28.2%

Manchester United
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	21.4%	42.9%

Leeds United - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Man Utd will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Man Utd (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leeds (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 20%). Man Utd (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 24. Justin J. 30. Elvedi N. 5. Muharemovic T. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	1. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 2. Dalot D. 17. Andrey Santos 20. Baleba C. 16. Diallo A. 18. Tielemans Y. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. 23. Bahoya J. 26. Bard M. 15. Bijol J. 44. Gruev I. 8. Longstaff S. 14. Nmecha L. 10. Wilson H. 16. Zetterer M. (G)	41. Amass H. 10. Cunha M. 12. Darlow K. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 31. Lacey S. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 9. Rashford M. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Fernandes B. 🟨,
19', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez Li. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽, Muharemovic T. (A),
74', Okafor N. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
74', Baleba C. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
81', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
84', Tielemans Y. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
90+2', Ampadu E. 🟨,
90+2', Andrey Santos 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

In recent outings, Leeds has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Man Utd has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Leeds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Leeds: Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Rodon J. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Heaton T. (Abdominal strain) Sesko B. (Leg Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Leeds: James D. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury) Shaw L. (Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Leeds has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:29 (averaging 0.9:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leeds against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11
16	Manchester Utd	8	1	4	3	10:13	-3	7

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
10.10.26	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Leeds United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLT
- Manchester United
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Manchester United - Leeds United	0:0
12.07.23	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:0
English Premier League
12.02.23	Leeds United - Manchester United	0:2
08.02.23	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:2

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