Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Atlético Madrid		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25
	1.67	3.8	5.25
	1.79	3.85	4.9
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.91	5.54
	1.67	3.75	5.5
	1.7	3.94	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	3.84 ↓ (4.12)	5.27 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
56.7%

Draw
25.1%

Red Bull Salzburg
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

13.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

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Atlético has a good chance of round of 16 (64%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Salzburg has a chance of round of 16 (33%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Atlético is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salzburg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
24.10.20	Atlético Madrid - Betis	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Bayern Munich - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.20	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
30.09.20	Huesca - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWTT
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
24.10.20	Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
17.10.20	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
04.10.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	7:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWW

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