Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Madrid B		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.88	2.95	3.9
	1.92	3.25	3.75
	1.95	3.43	4.04
	1.87	3.49	4.03	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.81	3.24	4.23
	1.83	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.93 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
48.8%

Draw
28.1%

Alcorcón
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

29.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-5%)

Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 14. Morcillo J. 18. Bellotti M. 7. Luque I. 17. Monserrate J. 22. Perovic M. 30. Llorente M.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 6. Perez I. 19. Pola J. 15. Rodriguez S. 17. Ouhdadi O. 5. Rai 18. Aguado T. 10. Ballesteros Y. 9. Carmona M. 11. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 33. Morales L. (G) 24. Najera R. 16. Parriego M. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.	7. Aparicio E. 35. Arcos D. 22. Blanco R. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N. 14. Vacas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Pola J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Carmona M. 🟨,
65', Carmona M. ↓, Vacas L. ↑,
65', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
67', Monserrate J. ↓, Spina G. ↑,
67', Bellotti M. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
73', Sits D. 🟨,
74', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
78', Pola J. 🟨,
79', Navarro D. 🟨,
80', Puric A. 🟥,
86', Aguado T. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
86', Kopotun V. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
90+2', Llorente M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90+3', Perez I. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atlético Madrid B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.02.26	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	CE Europa - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.02.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sabadell - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Alcorcón - Antequera	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	CE Europa - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1
14.09.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	2:3

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