The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid B 36.9%
Draw 27.7%
Alcorcón 35.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
27.9%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
30%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 14th and 6th).
Recent results have been tough for Atlético Madrid B (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alcorcón has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Madrid B has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Madrid B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
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