Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Atlético Mineiro		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.25	3.10	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.00
	2.33	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.47	3.28	3.11
	2.33	3.29	3.12	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.05
	2.21	3.24	3.25	Watch
	2.50	3.25	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
40.2%

Draw
29.3%

Red Bull Bragantino
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 6. Lodi R. 8. Maycon 21. Franco A. 28. Cuello 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard 19. Reinier	1. Cleiton (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 14. Pedro Henrique 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 7. Eric Ramires 20. Rodriguinho 32. Herrera J. (C) 21. Lucas Barbosa 17. Vinicinho 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
9. Cassierra M. 29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 48. Gutte 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 31. Robert (G) 40. Vitao	4. Alix Vinicius 51. Caue Nascimento 8. Eduardo Sasha 5. Fabinho 6. Gabriel 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 2. Rodriguez G. 15. Sosa I. 18. Tiago Volpi (G)
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', Eric Ramires 🟨,
45+5', Cuello 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 1, Eric Ramires ⚽, Lucas Barbosa (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Maycon ⚽,
60', Reinier ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
60', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
67', Vinicinho ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
77', Herrera J. ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Lucas Barbosa (A),
84', Franco A. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
86', Eric Ramires ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
86', Rodriguinho ↓, Fabinho ↑,
88', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Cuello ⚽,
90+5', Victor Hugo ↓, Vitao ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.

Atlético MG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Bragantino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RB Bragantino has had a series of home games.

Atlético MG could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Atletico-MG: 34.91%

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.16%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Remo - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0
03.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
22.09.24	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0
11.06.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:2
25.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:2

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