Match Info

Liga Women - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)


	Atlético Nacional		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	1.09	9.5	15
	1.07	8.1	18.5
	1.05	13.97	21.71
	1.06	11.09	16.4	Watch
	1.1	8	19
	1.1	8.45	21
	1.06	6.75	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.19)	9.41 ↑ (4.4)	17.94 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
85.2%

Draw
9.7%

Atlético Bucaramanga
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

19.5%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Villareal A. (G) 20. Orrego S. 6. Ocampo L. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 23. Torres Z. 19. Mosquera M. 18. Sterling M. 7. Martinez S. (C) 5. Cedeno S. 21. Ibarguen K.	1. Montanez A. (G) 19. Palomeque M. 4. Alcendra D. 16. Henao A. 14. Gomez V. 9. Padilla Y. 10. Rojas M. 8. Rodriguez S. (C) 11. Tobo N. 7. Nino B. 21. Gomez M.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez L. 24. Cabeza D. 22. Castano S. (G) 17. Ceballos C. 11. Gomez I. 8. Moreno M. 27. Orozco M. 13. Robayo L. 15. Vidal K.	18. Beltran M. 6. Cardona I. 24. Mantilla T. 12. Quiroga S. (G) 20. Rojas S. 13. Sanchez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Rojas M. 🟨,
38', Gomez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres Z. ↓, Vidal K. ↑,
54', Padilla Y. 🟨,
60', Ocampo L. 🟨,
65', Orrego S. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Garcia S. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Mosquera M. ↓, Ceballos C. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Sterling M. ⚽, Cedeno S. (A),
82', Cedeno S. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
82', Ocampo L. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
83', Padilla Y. ↓, Beltran M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.

Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:0. (average 2.7:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.03.26	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
12.02.26	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL
- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
09.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:4 ✺
17.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
11.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	0:4
06.05.23	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	4:0
03.04.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	0:0
29.08.21	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0
01.08.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	0:1
20.11.20	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	0:5
17.10.20	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0

Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide