Match Info

Liga Women - Round 16

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto) 🌤️ ...


	Deportivo Pasto		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.22	7.89
				Watch
	1.36	4.15	8.1	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.04 ↑ (4)	7.66 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
65.7%

Draw
22.4%

Atlético Bucaramanga
11.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Idarraga V. (G) 23. Angulo E. 4. Balcazar K. (C) 11. Contreras K. 8. Moreno J. 27. Olarte A. 17. Prado E. 9. Preciado M. 25. Pulgarin L. 7. Ruiz J. 24. Valencia A.	1. Montanez A. (G) 9. Camacho J. (C) 7. Garzon K. 8. Garzon S. 2. Laguado D. 11. Lopez A. 6. Lopez M. 26. Martinez M. 16. Pineda S. 5. Pineda V. 19. Sarmiento S.
Substitutes
22. Angulo D. 13. Araujo T. 15. Cuesta E. 6. Herrera M. 12. Mendez P. (G) 3. Riascos M. 18. Vazquez V.	21. Bedoya I. 22. Bello M. 10. Lopez M. 77. Parada J. 12. Quiroga S. (G) 14. Rodriguez D. 13. Sanchez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Pineda S. 🟨,
38', Pineda S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Camacho J. 🟨,
61', Garzon S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
61', Lopez A. ↓, Bedoya I. ↑,
63', Moreno J. ↓, Herrera M. ↑,
67', Ruiz J. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
79', Valencia A. ↓, Riascos M. ↑,
82', Sarmiento S. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Prado E. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
90+1', Angulo E. 🟨,
90+1', Pineda V. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
90+4', Camacho J. ↓, Bello M. ↑,
90+4', Garzon K. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Deportivo Pasto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bucaramanga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Deportivo Pasto is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
16.06.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Inter Palmira - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WTWWL
- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
11.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	0:4 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	5:0 ✺
26.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
13.04.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0

Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga