Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: COS Sports Plaza (Panama City)


	Atlético Nacional		Independiente de la Chorrera

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.5	1.72
	4.3	3.67	1.76
	7.46	5.16	1.34	Watch
	4.42	3.54	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.07)	3.97 ↑ (3.4)	1.63 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
18.6%

Draw
23.7%

Independiente de la Chorrera
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.8%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente de la Chorrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente de la Chorrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Nacional - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almengor D. (G) 3. Moreno G. 4. Pinzon J. 9. Henriquez M. 10. Riquelme M. 11. Rivera J. 20. Barrera J. 23. Valencia A. 27. Barria J. 12. Moreno S. 22. Diaz S.	5. Rodriguez A. (G) 19. Avila M. 22. Ramirez S. 3. Davis O. 16. Garcia L. 21. Modelo J. 8. Ramirez Y. 23. Hurtado H. 10. Aguila R. 11. Valverde A. 28. Bonilla K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Valverde A. ⚽,
33', Lay C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lay C. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
46', Riquelme M. ↓, Velasquez C. ↑,
46', Moreno G. ↓, Garces A. ↑,
54', Valverde A. ↓, Bonilla K. ↑,
61', Velasquez C. ↓, Riquelme M. ↑,
67', Avila V. ↓, Torres A. M. ↑,
72', Ramirez S. 🟨,
74', Moreno G. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
82', Barrera J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Garcia L. ↓, Berrocal O. ↑,
84', Hurtado H. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Bonilla K. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Independiente has had a series of home games.

In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente de la Chorrera - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Panama
Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.10.25	Herrera - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Universitario	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Veraguas - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	San Francisco - Atlético Nacional	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Panama	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWTL
- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Veraguas	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Herrera - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Deportivo Universitario	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
17.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Atlético Nacional	3:3

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