Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Palencia		Becerril

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.85	6.5
	1.46	3.99	6.66
	1.46	3.93	6.76
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.43	3.76	7.33
	1.4	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	3.86 ↑ (3.43)	6.96 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
63.3%

Draw
23.6%

Becerril
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Palencia's performance.

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Atlético Palencia - Becerril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 🟥,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 2.

Atlético Palencia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Becerril's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Palencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Palencia is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLT
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Becerril - Mirandés B	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arandina - Becerril	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Becerril - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	5:0 ✺
14.12.25	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.09.25	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:2
26.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	1:1
15.12.24	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:3
10.03.24	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	0:0
22.10.23	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:0
16.04.23	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	3:2
17.12.22	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	2:0

Atlético Palencia - Becerril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide