Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Paso		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.61	3.37	6.49
	1.61	3.37	6.49
	1.58	3.4	6.04
	1.63	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.39 ↓ (3.75)	5.7 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
56.9%

Draw
27%

Montijo
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Paso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Atlético Paso - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atlético Paso is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montijo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlético Paso is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Paso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTWT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	4:1 ✺
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:0
11.12.22	Montijo - Atlético Paso	0:1

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