Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Talavera de la Reina		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.25
	1.45	4	7	Watch
	1.45	4.04	7.06
	1.47	4.01	7.17
	1.41	4	7
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	3.99 ↑ (3.1)	6.81 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
63.6%

Draw
23%

Montijo
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

29.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

28.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Talavera de la Reina - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Talavera is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Adarve - Montijo	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLTT

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