Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.65	2.7	2.65
	2.65	2.8	2.7
	2.86	2.6	3.01
	2.83	2.58	2.88	Watch
	2.72	2.8	2.74
	2.65	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.86)	2.73 ↓ (3.02)	2.78 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
33.7%

Draw
33.4%

Navalcarnero
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navalcarnero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Peque ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Armiche ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Coria - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Atlético Paso - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
03.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:1
01.10.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	0:0
14.05.23	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	2:0
15.01.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	2:1

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