Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Atlético Porteño		El Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.8	2.05
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.45	2.7	2.21
	3.48	2.79	2.39
	3.6	2.87	2
	3.52	2.99	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porteño
25.6%

Draw
31.9%

El Nacional
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

31.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

24.1%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Porteño - El Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Atlético Porteño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.

El Nacional will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.09.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - Atlético Porteño	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
01.09.21	América de Quito - Atlético Porteño	4:1 ✺
25.08.21	Chacaritas - Atlético Porteño	2:1 ✺
18.08.21	Atlético Porteño - LDU Portoviejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.09.21	El Nacional - América de Quito	1:4 ✺
08.09.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
31.08.21	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
24.08.21	Cumbayá - El Nacional	0:0 ✺
17.08.21	El Nacional - Búhos ULVR	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.21	El Nacional - Atlético Porteño	3:1
23.06.21	Atlético Porteño - El Nacional	1:0
20.05.21	El Nacional - Atlético Porteño	0:0

Atlético Porteño - El Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide