Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Sanlúcar de Barrameda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.35	3	2.15
	3.48	2.92	2.37
	3.24	3.13	2.23	Watch
	3.33	3.12	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.23 (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
27.9%

Draw
30.5%

Ibiza
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sanluqueño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanluqueño (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ibiza (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanluqueño (votes: 1 - 25%). Ibiza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 7. Kikin 30. Barea P. 5. Trapero 4. Castellano A. 3. Cabrera J. 2. Sola Villalba R. 8. Gallastegui J. 16. Tounkara N. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 18. Indias I. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 6. del Pozo D. 12. Garcia D. 7. Bebe 20. El Ftouhi S. 9. Davo
Substitutes
20. Arruabarrena J. 18. Bonfing B. 22. Carneil H. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 10. Feria J. 23. Gomez A. 27. Gonzalez I. 14. Hernandez Camps G. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S. 9. Zequi	13. Belman (G) 11. Castillo F. 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 14. Fede 15. Glazer T. 22. Joao Fersura 24. Muller S. 16. Pedreno M. 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Garcia D. 🟨,
31', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
45+1', Barea P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
60', Indias I. ↓, Pedreno M. ↑,
60', Barea P. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
60', Juarez A. ↓, Arruabarrena J. ↑,
60', Kikin ↓, Zequi ↑,
61', 🟨,
74', Gallastegui J. ↓, Bonfing B. ↑,
77', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Rodri ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
83', Gomez E. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
83', Davo ↓, Fede ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+4', Albert J. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 0.

Sanluqueño is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ibiza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ibiza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	CE Europa - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Betis B - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.11.25	Ibiza - Betis B	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Ibiza	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Ibiza - Teruel	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.02.25	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:2
06.10.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0
11.02.24	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0
07.10.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.01.19	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:1
02.09.18	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1

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