Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Tembetary		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.67	3.12	2.82
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.57	3.18	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.19)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.74 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tembetary
36.6%

Draw
29.8%

Deportivo Recoleta
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tembetary's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tembetary will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Recoleta (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Peralta F. (G) 22. Barrios V. 5. Marotta N. 3. Olmedo S. 33. Benitez M. 18. Rojas R. (C) 23. Gudino G. 11. Charpentier P. 28. Mercado C. 20. Gomez A. 8. Ferreira E.	1. Falcon G. (C) 15. Medina B. 3. Cardozo L. 27. Dominguez J. 29. Coronel U. 17. Baez W. 5. Romero L. 6. Espinola J. 19. Gayoso H. 10. Silva A. 9. Sandoval H.
Substitutes
26. Adorno P. 10. Candia W. 12. Chena J. (G) 14. Esteche J. F. 38. Favero C. 19. Gamarra Escobar R. A. 13. Izquierdo R. 9. Morinigo N. 37. Pereira B. 7. Perez E.	38. Cabrera A. 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 36. Ferreira B. 12. Ferreira N. (G) 8. Galeano F. 21. Garay C. 33. Gonzalez A. 11. Gonzalez L. 30. Hernan Perez 23. Nunez J. 18. Vargas S. 16. Vera C.
Coaches
Diaz C.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rojas R. ⚽, Benitez M. (A),
24', Rojas R. ↓, Candia W. ↑,
45+5', Sandoval H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Gayoso H. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Silva A. (Pen),
69', Ferreira E. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
73', Baez W. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
73', Coronel U. ↓, Vargas S. ↑,
76', Charpentier P. ↓, Esteche J. F. ↑,
76', Gomez A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
76', Candia W. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
79', Sandoval H. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
90+1', Romero L. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Esteche J. F. ⚽,
90+7', Peralta F. 🟥,

Preview

Tembetary has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Recoleta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.07.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Atlético Tembetary	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Cerro Porteño	1:6 ✺
26.05.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Atlético Tembetary	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.07.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	2:4 ✺
01.06.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
26.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
16.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1
08.03.25	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.10.24	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
29.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1

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