The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Asuncion 66.6%
Draw 20%
Deportivo Recoleta 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
22.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Recoleta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Lentinelly S. (G) 27. Caceres R. (C) 22. Vera J. 2. Bentaberry B. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 20. Delmas E. 5. Alfaro J. F. 28. Quintana H. 19. Lezcano R. 17. Alcaraz A. 37. Benitez R.
1. Marsengo A. (G) 14. Figueredo C. 4. Pereira M. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 39. Guggiari G. 6. Espinola J. (C) 8. Galeano F. 31. Schupp M. 11. Parzajuk K. 29. Wlk A.
Substitutes
39. Abreu L. 35. Alfonso F. 7. Cardozo F. 11. Ferreira S. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 21. Olmedo C. 1. Olveira G. (G) 23. Perez R. 33. Ramirez L. 9. Sandoval H. 3. Silva A. 14. Vargas G.
20. Canete M. 27. Dominguez Castillo J. C. 37. Falcon J. 36. Ferreira B. 21. Garay C. 33. Gonzalez A. 5. Marotta N. 15. Medina B. 28. Mendoza L. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 12. Toledo O. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez P.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Delmas E. ⚽, Lezcano R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Schupp M. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
46', Figueredo C. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Guggiari G. ⚽, Parzajuk K. (A),
59', Pereira M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Alcaraz A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Lezcano R. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
62', Alcaraz A. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
66', Rios P. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
66', Abreu L. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Wlk A. ⚽, Ferreira B. (A),
72', Wlk A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
82', Benitez R. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
82', Quintana H. ↓, Alfonso F. ↑,
82', Delmas E. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
85', Guggiari G. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Sandoval H. ⚽, Alfonso F. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8).
Olimpia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Olimpia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Recoleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Olimpia Asuncion
13
8
2
3
22:10
12
26
11
Recoleta
13
2
2
9
14:26
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Paraguay
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Lentinelly S. (G) 
Caceres R. (C) 
Alfaro J. F. 
