Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Quinonez A. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Tembetary		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4.55	3.5	1.72
	5	3.61	1.75
	4.27	3.54	1.76	Watch
	4.77	3.55	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.27)	3.54 (3.54)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tembetary
20.1%

Draw
26.2%

Nacional Asuncion
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

27%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Tembetary (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nacional Asuncion will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Asuncion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tembetary (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 3. Olmedo S. 32. Diaz J. 10. Candia W. (C) 6. Colman D. 14. Esteche J. F. 40. Zarate D. 11. Charpentier P.	1. Ortiz G. (G) 14. Nunez C. (C) 3. Canete Torres A. D. 4. Gutierrez T. 38. Gonzalez J. 6. Alfaro J. F. 40. Jara F. 27. Prieto R. 10. Arrua C. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 20. Benitez H.
Substitutes
26. Adorno P. 31. Barreto O. 30. Cristaldo A. 38. Favero C. 8. Ferreira E. 16. Guinazu L. 28. Mercado C. 27. Peralta F. (G) 7. Perez E. 18. Rojas R. 36. Toledo J.	11. Almeida M. 36. Avalos Gimenez F. A. 7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 22. Cabrera M. 21. Franco F. 28. Garcia H. 2. Maciel A. R. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 34. Rios M. 30. Rojas S. (G) 29. Sanabria T.
Coaches
Escobar L.	Sarabia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Arrua C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zarate D. ↓, Amarilla J. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Alfaro J. F. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
60', Esteche J. F. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
60', Candia W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
73', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
74', Benitez H. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
74', Amarilla J. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Prieto R. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
78', Colman D. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
80', Marotta N. 🟨,
85', Arrua C. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
85', Gutierrez T. ↓, Maciel A. R. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5).

Recent performances by Tembetary have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.25	2 de Mayo - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
21.10.25	Atlético Tembetary - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTLTW
- Nacional Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
05.11.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
27.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.25	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.25	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	1:1
09.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
01.03.25	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	1:0

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