Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, Disney+, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atlético Tucumán		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.00	2.57	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.50
	2.63	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.94	3.10	2.78
	2.65	3.18	2.77	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.65
	2.81	3.05	2.80	Watch
	2.85	3.00	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.61)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
33.8%

Draw
31%

Independiente Rivadavia
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.5%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente R (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 3. Villa M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 36. Vallejo L. 2. Paunero R. 19. Vega L. 31. Godoy L. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 14. Gomez L. 2. Costa L. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 8. Bucca L. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 9. Arce A. (C) 43. Sartori F.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 24. Di Placido L. 25. Durso T. (G) 6. Ferrari G. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 4. Jung T. 45. Ortiz K. 22. Pimienta F. 18. Ruiz R.	19. Atencio R. 5. Bottari T. 27. Crego D. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G. 45. Sabato L. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A.
Coaches
Falcioni J.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Villalba I. 🟨,
64', Bucca L. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
69', Paunero R. ↓, Di Placido L. ↑,
76', Villalba I. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
76', Sartori F. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
81', Franco N. ↓, Pimienta F. ↑,
81', Lamendola N. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
87', Gomez L. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
87', Fernandez M. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
88', Arce A. 🟨,
90+4', Vega L. 🟨,
90+5', Godoy L. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 3.

Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Martin Benitez (Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético Tucumán: Suso G. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tucumán - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Independiente Rivadavia - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Copa Argentina
20.05.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Tucumán - Banfield	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWTLT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
12.07.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Bolívar - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
21.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Independiente Rivadavia	2:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
04.08.24	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.15	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	1:3
19.04.15	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
24.10.14	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
29.08.14	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	0:0

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