Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Atlético Tucumán		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.75	4.6	1.4
	6.75	4.4	1.4
	6.7	4.35	1.41
	7.11	5.08	1.42
	7.3	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (6.88)	4.59 ↑ (4.54)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
13.5%

Draw
20.4%

River Plate Montevideo
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

20.6%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

17.8%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	2.8%	41.7%

Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 39.4% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.02.20	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Medellín	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	LDU Quito - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Cali	1:3 ✺
25.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
14.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Tucumán	4:1
11.05.19	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.19	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
Copa Argentina
09.12.17	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.10.17	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Tucumán	2:2
31.05.17	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate Montevideo	0:3

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