Match Info

Date: 25 February 2020, Tuesday


	Atlético Tucumán		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.6
	1.85	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.06	4.24
	1.88	3.28	4.55
	1.85	3.2	4.75
	1.84	3.32	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.96)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)	4.52 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
50.5%

Draw
28.9%

Independiente Medellín
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

30.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - The Strongest	3:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.20	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
22.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.02.20	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.20	Deportivo Táchira - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
07.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.02.20	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Tucumán	1:0

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