The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Alagoinhas 27.9%
Draw 30%
Sergipe 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
32.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
34.9%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Alagoinhas's form might have worsened.
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sergipe will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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