Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.3	6.7	Watch
	1.54	3.3	6.85
	1.6	3.23	7.43	Watch
	1.57	3.1	6.5
	1.53	3.22	7.33	Watch
	1.52	3.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	3.25 (3.25)	6.97 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
58.9%

Draw
28.1%

General San Martín de Formosa
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

28.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

26%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2%)

Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín Formosa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 11. Marchiori T. 4. Martinez M. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.	1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 5. Bobadilla M. 11. Chiquichano O. 2. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 7. Peralta B. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
Substitutes
20. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 19. Fernandez M. 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 18. Marquez E. 17. Pastorelli A. 16. Protti I. 14. Torres G.	16. Amud L. 12. Cordero M. (G) 13. Denis M. E. 19. Duran F. 17. Haberkorn F. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 18. Monin F. 14. Serrano R. 20. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Soloa F. ⚽,
11', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))

Atlético Rafaela is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

San Martín Formosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.12.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.12.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.12.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1
26.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
13.06.25	Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
13.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1

Upcoming Matches