Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Atlético de Rafaela		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.75	7.3	Watch
	1.48	3.7	6.78
	1.31	4.41	12.05	Watch
	1.42	3.65	8.1
	1.5	3.5	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.23)	3.8 ↓ (4.8)	8.18 ↓ (12.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
64.5%

Draw
24.2%

Douglas Haig
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

18.8%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela's form might have worsened.

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Douglas Haig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Rafaela (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 11. Marchiori T. 4. Martinez M. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.	1. Bacher E. (G) 6. Bazzana N. 10. Castellano J. 11. Gutierrez S. 9. Jara A. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 8. Ojeda L. 2. Pezzi A. 7. Tus E.
Substitutes
20. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 19. Fernandez M. 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 18. Marquez E. 16. Miranda B. 17. Pastorelli A. 14. Torres G.	18. Bogado E. 12. Carrera J. (G) 15. Cuello L. 14. Gomez M. 19. Gonzalez F. 20. Munoz L. 17. Orlando M. 16. Ponce de Leon M. 13. Sveruk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Martinez M. 🟨,
45', Castellano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ojeda L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
46', Mauri M. ↓, Cuello L. ↑,
46', Magnago B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Capurro J. ⚽,
57', Tus E. ↓, Bogado E. ↑,
57', Meza B. 🟨,
58', Marchiori T. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,
63', Jara A. ↓, Orlando M. ↑,
68', Albertengo L. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
68', Capurro J. ↓, Jaime D. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Bogado E. ⚽,
82', Leineker C. ↓, Marquez E. ↑,
82', Affranchino F. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético Rafaela has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.11.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Guillermo Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 penalties ✺
12.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.11.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5:0 ✺
01.11.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Douglas Haig - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.11.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2
17.08.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2

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