Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.82	Watch
	2.50	2.80	2.95
	2.45	2.80	2.90	Watch
	2.55	2.86	3.42
	2.62	2.82	3.06	Watch
	2.50	2.75	3.25
	2.72	2.82	2.89	Watch
	2.49	2.75	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 (2.56)	2.79 ↑ (2.78)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
36.2%

Draw
33.2%

San Martín de Tucumán
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

33%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Ramirez R. 8. Jourdan F. 5. Capurro J. 11. Bonifacio J. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L. 10. Obando A.	1. Sand D. (G) 4. Juarez J. 2. Galvan A. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Gallardo N. 5. Brinone S. 8. Graneros A. 10. Carabajal G. 7. Cisnero A. 9. Veron M. 11. Cabrera B.
Substitutes
18. Cavallaro J. 16. Fernandez M. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Mondino V. 15. Morello M. 17. Pardo M. 20. Protti I. 19. Rodriguez A. 14. Wuattier E.	15. Altamiranda M. 14. Castro N. 20. Diellos D. 18. Garcia M. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 17. Monroy G. 19. Paz A. 13. Rodriguez G. 16. Salazar V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Cisnero A. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Albertengo L. ⚽, Bonifacio J. (A),
31', Carabajal G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Cabrera B. ⚽, Veron M. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Bonifacio J. ⚽,
45+1', Juarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Jourdan F. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
62', Ramirez R. ↓, Wuattier E. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Albertengo L. ⚽, Obando A. (A),
67', Veron M. 🟨,
69', Brinone S. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
77', Bonifacio J. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
77', Moreno M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Carabajal G. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
78', Juarez J. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,
79', Morello M. 🟨,
84', Albertengo L. 🟨,
87', Flores L. ↓, Mondino V. ↑,
90', Graneros A. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
90', Gallardo N. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Yegros U. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Rafaela has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Rafaela against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTT
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
03.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1
13.12.20	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	0:3
20.10.19	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0
03.11.17	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2

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