The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 38.7%
Draw 34.4%
San Martín de Tucumán 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
32.3%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
31.1%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 8. Facello F. 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Vittor S. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 10. Guanca C. 5. Perez T. (C) 11. Sanabria M. 6. Pantaleone N. 9. Dominguez A.
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Salazar V. 2. Galvan A. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Gallardo N. 5. Brinone S. 8. Rodriguez L. 11. Cabrera B. 10. Carabajal G. 7. Veliez A. 9. Arfaras L.
Substitutes
13. Acosta S. 19. Brun L. 16. Bustos L. 14. Calderara B. 18. Cristaldo F. 15. Duran D. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 17. Maldonado A.
14. Ayala R. 18. Cisnero A. 16. Garcia M. 12. Jaime J. (G) 17. Monroy G. 19. Paz A. 13. Rodriguez G. 20. Veron M.
Coaches
Rondina S.
Orfila A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Melendez M. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
12', Brinone S. 🟨,
20', Facello F. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
24', Galvan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brinone S. ↓, Veron M. ↑,
68', Melendez M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
71', Carabajal G. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
71', Rodriguez L. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Arfaras L. ⚽,
74', Sanabria M. ↓, Brun L. ↑,
74', Chaves N. ↓, Calderara B. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Arfaras L. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
83', Arfaras L. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
90+1', Cabrera B. 🟨,
90+2', Veliez A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).