Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.4	7	Watch
	1.55	3.4	6.25
				Watch
	1.49	3.7	8.62
				Watch
	1.53	3.4	7
	1.53	3.58	7.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)	3.5 ↑ (3.26)	7.25 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
61%

Draw
26.3%

Alvarado
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

28.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

27.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Alvarado Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atlanta Buenos Aires will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Gomez J. 2. Fara C. 6. Rojas T. 3. Ferracutti G. 8. Valdez J. 5. Previtali N. 10. Ambrogio L. 7. Echeverria M. 9. Bauman J. 11. Fedele L.	1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Silva K. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Aleo A. 8. Bolivar A. 5. Mansilla M. 10. Miori M. 11. Gobetto J. (C) 7. Martinez E. 9. Bolzicco T.
Substitutes
17. Bisanz F. 18. Coronel S. 20. Dellarossa J. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 19. Medina N. 16. Montero F. 13. Moreira R. 15. Ramirez R. 14. Tolosa N.	18. Amilivia T. 16. Ascacibar J. 19. Borgnino M. 17. Castellano A. 13. Fernandez T. 15. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 20. Ortiz D. 14. Werro V.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Vazquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gobetto J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez J. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
54', Aleo A. 🟨,
59', Echeverria M. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
59', Ambrogio L. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
60', Fedele L. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
69', Silva K. 🟨,
69', Bolzicco T. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
79', Ferracutti G. ↓, Bisanz F. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Miori M. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Atlanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alvarado has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atlanta is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Atlanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.06.25	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Deportivo Maipú - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Martín de Tucumán	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.06.25	Alvarado - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
06.06.25	Los Andes - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	All Boys - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.25	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
30.04.22	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1
23.10.21	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
29.06.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Alvarado	0:0
26.09.19	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2

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