Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	6	Watch
	1.8	2.95	5
	1.8	3	5	Watch
	1.8	3.13	6.06
	1.85	3.09	4.99	Watch
	1.8	3	5
	1.77	3.1	5.25	Watch
	1.8	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	5.29 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
51.8%

Draw
30.6%

Brown de Adrogué
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

29.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

29.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Gissi D. 6. Rojas T. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Requena J. 10. Previtali N. 11. Lattanzio C. 7. Marinucci L. 9. Bodencer E.	1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Sangiovani R. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Aguirre C. 3. Nouet F. 5. Pereyra N. 8. Desio G. 7. Castillo L. 10. Sproat M. 11. Nouet M. 9. Buter L.
Substitutes
17. Arroyo L. 18. Canete J. 19. Costantino I. 13. Evangelista F. 15. Fara C. 14. Flores L. 12. Galvan B. (G) 20. Medina N. 16. Vega G.	13. Arrechea N. 19. Benitez F. 15. Gamarra G. 14. Heredia M. 20. Lopez B. 16. Lovazzano L. 12. Rehak G. (G) 17. Sives T. 18. Tellas G.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Vivaldo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Nouet M. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
44', Rojas T. 🟨,
45+4', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lattanzio C. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
63', Buter L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
63', Desio G. ↓, Lovazzano L. ↑,
68', Previtali N. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
69', Bodencer E. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
78', Wysocki M. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Costantino I. (Pen),
85', Castillo L. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
85', Sproat M. ↓, Sives T. ↑,
90', Marinucci L. ↓, Evangelista F. ↑,
90+2', Dramisino A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.24	Temperley - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
19.08.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
05.08.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWLL
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3
15.10.23	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2
31.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.15	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	0:2
14.03.15	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:1
18.10.14	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

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