Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Atlanta United		Club América

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.85	2.02	Watch
	3.2	3.55	1.98
	3.34	3.76	2.08
	3.2	3.5	2	Watch
	3.3	3.74	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.62)	3.6 ↑ (3.42)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
28.2%

Draw
25.7%

Club América
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.8%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.6%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club América could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlanta United - Club América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3. Neutral location - Exploria Stadium.

Atlanta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches América is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
08.11.20	Columbus Crew - Atlanta United	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Atlanta United - Cincinnati	2:0 ✺
28.10.20	Orlando City - Atlanta United	4:1 ✺
24.10.20	Atlanta United - DC United	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
28.11.20	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
25.11.20	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Juárez - Club América	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Club América - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Club América - Atlas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.20	Club América - Atlanta United	3:0
Campeones Cup
14.08.19	Atlanta United - Club América	3:2

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