Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Banorte (Mexico City)

Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Club América		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.65
	2.62	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.79	2.53
	2.55	3.66	2.58
	2.65	3.75	2.45
	2.66	3.46	2.66	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	2.53 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América
36%

Draw
26.7%

Chivas Guadalajara
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Club América - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 2. Lara E. 32. Vazquez M. 26. Borja C. 3. Reyes I. 13. Cervantes A. 10. Zendejas A. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H. (C)	1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 7. Romo L. (C) 37. Ledezma R. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. 5. Gonzalez B. 30. Sandoval S. 25. Alvarado R. 17. Marin R.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez C. 6. Cerrillo E. 217. Icaro 29. Juarez R. 1. Malagon L. (G) 93. Miguel Borja 22. Perea O. 24. Rossano F. 28. Sanchez E. 12. Violante I.	10. Alvarez E. 14. Camberos H. 33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 11. Gutierrez B. 57. Hernandez J. 18. Perez J. 16. Rey L. 9. Sepulveda A. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Almada G.	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Govea O. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Vazquez M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Aguirre D. 🟨,
52', Cervantes A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
52', Zendejas A. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
57', Gonzalez B. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
64', Marin R. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
66', Raphael Veiga ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Miguel Borja ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
74', 2 - 2, Miguel Borja ⚽, Martin H. (A),
76', Sandoval S. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
76', Ledezma R. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
76', Aguirre D. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
85', Perez J. 🟨,
86', Martin H. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
87', Espinoza D. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
90', Borja C. 🟨,
90', Gonzalez F. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 1.

In recent outings, América has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Guadalajara is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for América: Bueno S. (Inactive) Davila V. (Knee Injury) Zuniga J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:14 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 18:9 goals (averaging 1.8:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Club America: 16.97% Guadalajara Chivas: 13.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Club America	9	6	2	1	21:10	11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	17:10	7	18

Last Results with these Odds

Club América - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Cruz Azul - Club América	4:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Club León - Club América	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Club América - Monterrey	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
29.08.26	Club América - Puebla	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
26.08.26	Club América - Columbus Crew	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
13.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0
13.09.25	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.25	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	4:0
Mexican Liga MX
08.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	0:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0
Mexican Liga MX
14.09.24	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
18.05.24	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0

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