Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Peacock, Telemundo


	Chivas Guadalajara		Club América

	1	X	2
	3.07	3.9	1.98
	2.95	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
30%

Draw
24.1%

Club América
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.7%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

22.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Whalley O. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 46. Alvarado R. 182. Calderon L. 33. Carrillo J. 19. Castaneda K. 28. Gonzalez F. 11. Gutierrez B. 37. Ledezma R. 16. Rey L. 9. Sepulveda A.	1. Malagon L. (G) 8. Alvarez C. 14. Bueno S. 6. Cerrillo E. 2. Lara E. 9. Martin H. (C) 93. Miguel Borja 15. Ramos S. 24. Rossano F. 28. Sanchez E. 10. Zendejas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.

In recent outings, Guadalajara has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

América has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

América may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:31 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalajara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 0.5:1.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Club América - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
26.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWT
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
27.09.26	Necaxa - Club América	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cruz Azul - Club América	4:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Club León - Club América	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Club América - Monterrey	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
19.09.26	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2
14.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0
13.09.25	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.25	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	4:0
Mexican Liga MX
08.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	0:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0
Mexican Liga MX
14.09.24	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0

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