The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 58.6%
Draw 25.2%
Atlas 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
22.2%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Club América - Atlas Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 32. Vazquez M. 5. Alvarez K. 28. Sanchez E. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 26. Borja C. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 10. Zendejas A. (C)
12. Vargas C. (G) 13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 25. Rodriguez J. 26. Rocha A. (C) 11. Gonzalez D. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 15. Ramirez P. 199. Hernandez S. 19. Aguirre E.
Substitutes
13. Cervantes A. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 45. Lima 9. Martin H. 18. Mejia A. 33. Salas P. 21. Tapia F. (G) 12. Violante I. 19. Zuniga J.
10. del Prete G. 251. Gamboa L. 8. Garcia M. E. 58. Gonzalez A. 17. Lozano J. 4. Mora A. 44. Pier R. 9. Rodriguez A. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 6. Zaldivar E.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Cocca D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Raphael Veiga (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Borja C. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
54', Reyes I. 🟨,
60', Raphael Veiga ↓, Lima ↑,
60', Hernandez S. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
72', Sanchez E. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
72', Zendejas A. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
72', Rocha A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
78', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
88', Aguirre E. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, América is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Malagon L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Atlas: Gustavo Ferrareis
(Red Card)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
There are questionable in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Martin H.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Serrato J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
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Cota R. (G) 
Caceres S. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Borja C. 
Zendejas A. (C) 
Capasso M. 
Gonzalez D. 
Pier R. 
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