Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field (Columbus, OH) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Penso C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	15:30	MLS Season Pass
International	19:30	Apple TV International


	Columbus Crew		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.65	4.20	4.40
	1.63	4.30	4.40
	1.7	4.25	4.84
	1.68	4.27	4.49	Watch
	1.68	4.05	4.75
	1.73	4.26	4.4	Watch
	1.66	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	4.2 ↑ (4)	4.51 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
56.5%

Draw
22.5%

Toronto FC
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Columbus Crew - Toronto FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 23. Farsi M. 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 21. Zaroury A. 17. Bangoura S. 7. Chambost D. 8. Rodriguez S. 16. Habroune T. 33. Tapia G.	1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 13. Kuscevic B. 12. Monlouis Z. 3. Matheus Pereira 7. Corbeanu T. 21. Osorio J. (C) 6. Dorsch N. 10. Mihailovic D. 9. Sargent J. 90. Morgan L.
Substitutes
39. Gbamble K. 26. Giaccone L. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 50. Karumanchi T. 11. Lennon B. 77. Martinez J. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 19. Thiare J.	17. Aristizabal E. 96. Chukwu R. 71. Cimermancic M. 14. Coello A. 44. Edwards R. 11. Etienne D. 38. Gilman J. 20. Salloi D. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Courtois L.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Tapia G. ⚽, Farsi M. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Amundsen M. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
31', Bangoura S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, Amundsen M. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
57', Rodriguez S. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
57', Moreira S. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Lennon B. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
63', Morgan L. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
68', Habroune T. ↓, Gbamble K. ↑,
68', Farsi M. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
70', Bangoura S. 🟨,
78', Kuscevic B. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
78', Tapia G. ↓, Karumanchi T. ↑,
81', 4 - 2, Sargent J. ⚽, Aristizabal E. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Columbus may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Columbus carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Toronto: Franklin K. (Shoulder Injury) Palacio N. (Lower-Body Injury) Zimmerman W. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Columbus: Camacho R. (Chest Injury) Habroune T. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Columbus has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:27 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Columbus against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Toronto FC: 0.69% Columbus Crew: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
US Open Cup
21.10.26	Columbus Crew - St. Louis City	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
18.10.26	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Columbus Crew - Charlotte	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Orlando City - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Columbus Crew - Inter Miami	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWLW
- Toronto FC
MLS
17.10.26	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Toronto FC - Orlando City	3:3 ✺
10.10.26	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	St. Louis City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.03.26	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	2:1
20.09.25	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	1:1
16.08.25	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:1
18.09.24	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	0:2
06.07.24	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	4:0
26.08.23	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	2:0
11.03.23	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:1

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