Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 4

Date: 30 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Héroe de Nacozari (Hermosillo)

Referee: Meza Méndez Á. (Mex)


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Tlaxcala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.75
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.57	4.05	5
	1.58	4.29	5.44
	1.5	4	4.8
	1.55	4.1	5.29	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	5.04 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
59.3%

Draw
22.5%

Tlaxcala
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora's form might have worsened.

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Espinoza G. (G) 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 23. Reyes J. 6. Arellano A. 8. Acuna F. 14. Monarrez F. 17. Cisneros D. 20. Navarro B. 7. Peralta J. 11. Jimenez D.	21. Ruiz G. (G) 5. Reyes E. 12. Lozano M. 2. Ramirez F. 3. Santillan F. 7. Zamudio J. 4. Gonzalez C. 8. Aguilar D. 10. Rangel J. 19. Millan O. 27. Barja B.
Substitutes
25. Castro E. (G) 16. Lopez D. 158. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 172. Orrantia E. 5. Reyna M. 24. Rodriguez J. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 10. Tejeda D.	6. Carrillo L. 14. Celaya J. 11. Esquivel K. 18. German D. 20. Hernandez J. 29. Rodriguez R. (G) 28. Santos P. 17. Serna A.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Ramirez F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2.

Tlaxcala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cimarrones de Sonora is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.01.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2 ✺
17.01.24	Dorados - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	4:2 ✺
15.11.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLW
- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.01.24	Tlaxcala - Dorados	0:1 ✺
10.01.24	Tlaxcala - Cancún	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.08.23	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2
07.02.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala	0:1
29.06.22	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:0
18.01.22	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0
20.10.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala	3:0
28.03.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala	2:0
21.10.20	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1

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