Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz (Zacatepec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Hi! Sports


	Atlante		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.95	8.2
	1.32	4.84	7.4
	1.38	4.52	8.67	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.36	4.99	7.48	Watch
	1.32	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.27)	4.76 ↓ (5.61)	7.63 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
68.7%

Draw
19.3%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

16.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 9. Puente L.	35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 13. Barreda I. 177. Bustos J. 33. Cortes J. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 19. Fadika B. 3. Justo A. 8. Morales F. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Substitutes
10. Alonzo J. 26. Beltran R. (G) 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I. 24. Pizzuto E. 20. Tovar J.	6. Arellano A. 20. Ayala D. 21. Franco J. 24. Garcia L. 23. Hernandez A. 7. Lopez D. 11. Mascorro H. 29. Meza S. 1. Rodas C. (G) 12. Tamay A.
Coaches
Carbajal R.	Hernandez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Bermudez C. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. 🟨,
37', Calzadilla L. 🟨,
38', Cortes J. 🟨,
40', Puente L. 🟨,
45', Olivas Salcedo L. A. 🟥,
45+4', Alvarez K. 🟨,
45+4', Alvarez K. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Bermudez C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
46', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Barreda I. ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
46', Fadika B. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
68', Calzadilla L. ↓, Alonzo J. ↑,
74', Cruz D. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
77', Bustos J. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
90+1', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlante is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Atlante - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Atlante - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Pachuca - Atlante	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTW
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	0:3
13.02.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	2:0
30.08.24	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	6:0
31.01.24	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:2
31.10.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	0:3
05.01.23	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0
14.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	2:2

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