The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cancún 24.6%
Draw 28.4%
Atlante 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
32.9%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
31.9%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cancún - Atlante Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andrade C. (G) 14. Campos K. 7. El-mesmari B. 3. Hernandez J. 8. Melendre F. 6. Ochoa I. 4. Reyes R. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C. 10. Uscanga P. (C) 30. Zabala L.
1. Barragan R. (G) 10. Alonzo J. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 16. Gonzalez J. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 9. Puente L.
Substitutes
26. Arce E. (G) 21. Barraza L. 5. Chavez A. 2. Guzman G. 147. Lomeli D. 32. Lopez L. 18. Montiel S. 17. Padilla E. 22. Soria E. 9. Villatoro M.
26. Beltran R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 11. Hernandez I. 24. Pizzuto E. 20. Tovar J.
Coaches
Bravo M.
Carbajal R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Trejo C. (A),
22', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Puente L. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 1, Trejo C. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Trejo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Jimenez E. 🟨,
58', Alonzo J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
65', Uscanga P. 🟨,
67', Campos K. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
67', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
67', Gonzalez J. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
67', Calzadilla L. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
74', Uscanga P. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
79', Ibarra J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
80', Hernandez J. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
87', Melendre F. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
Watch
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Andrade C. (G) 
Melendre F. 
Zabala L. 
Carrera J. N. 
Barraza L. 
Charcopa J. 
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