Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Díaz (Zacatepec)

Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports


	Atlante		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	7.75
	1.31	5.15	7.7
	1.31	5.52	8.99
	1.44	4.76	6.14	Watch
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.35	5.19	7.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.29)	5.1 ↓ (5.2)	7.75 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
69.8%

Draw
18.2%

Correcaminos UAT
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

17.7%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atlante - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 15. Cantu E. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 21. Ibarra J. (C) 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F. 20. Tovar J. 9. Wlk A.	1. Castellanos R. (G) 7. Cisneros D. (C) 20. Estopier J. 8. Garcia J. 17. Garcia J. 10. Hernandez E. 27. Martinez J. 13. Moreno G. 3. Pereyra J. 2. Pineda I. 91. Sarmiento M.
Substitutes
1. Barragan R. (G) 31. Bello B. 6. Carrera J. N. 11. Coubert R. 7. Garcia M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 17. Mejia L. 23. Padilla A. 16. Ramos R.	88. Aguilar A. 104. Arce R. 35. Chavez L. (G) 11. Espinosa Y. 28. Lopez M. 6. Martinez J. 15. Mengual A. 19. Trevino S. 30. Villareal A. 9. Zuniga M.
Coaches
Fuentes M.	Eugui H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Jimenez E. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Escobar A. ⚽, Calzadilla L. (A),
38', 3 - 0, Calzadilla L. ⚽, Jimenez E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moreno G. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
46', Hernandez E. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
46', Pineda I. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Estopier J. ⚽,
62', Martinez J. ↓, Zuniga M. ↑,
64', Wlk A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
64', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
65', Meza H. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
67', Escobar A. ↓, Padilla A. ↑,
67', Cisneros D. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
77', Jimenez E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Garcia Pardo M. ⚽, Bello B. (A),
90+1', 5 - 1, Garcia Pardo M. (Pen),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Atlante is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Tapatío - Atlante	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlante - Irapuato	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlante	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Atlante	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLTT
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.04.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	2:0
20.10.24	Atlante - Correcaminos UAT	3:1
11.04.24	Atlante - Correcaminos UAT	4:0
05.09.23	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:0
06.04.23	Atlante - Correcaminos UAT	2:1
07.07.22	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:2
16.03.22	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	2:0

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