Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Correcaminos UAT		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	3.05	3.4	2.12
	3.25	3.57	2.16
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.68	3.44	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.73)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
32.1%

Draw
27.1%

Leones Negros UdeG
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castellanos R. (G) 5. Capeluto J. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 17. Garcia J. 10. Hernandez E. 6. Martinez J. 27. Martinez J. 13. Moreno G. 3. Pereyra J. 31. Salas F. 91. Sarmiento M.	30. Lopez F. (G) 10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 20. Flores B. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 13. Lopez R. 18. Munoz D. 7. Rivera E. 2. Sanchez J. 5. Torres U.
Substitutes
88. Aguilar A. 104. Arce R. 35. Chavez L. (G) 11. Espinosa Y. 20. Estopier J. 28. Lopez M. 2. Pineda I. 19. Trevino S. 30. Villareal A.	24. Aguayo J. 84. Barba T. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 15. Carreon A. 3. Flores L. 92. Jimenez B. 81. Madrigal K. 11. Perez J. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Eugui H.	Sosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Torres U. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽, Hernandez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Sanchez J. 🟨,
59', Garcia J. 🟨,
61', Martinez J. 🟨,
62', Brigido J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
65', Sarmiento M. 🟨,
69', Sarmiento M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽,
78', Hernandez E. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
80', Moreno G. 🟨,
82', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
83', Lopez R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
86', Garcia J. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
87', Salas F. ↓, Arce R. ↑,
90+4', Munoz D. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT	4:0 ✺
03.04.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLWL
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	2:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.02.25	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:3
30.08.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	3:1
27.02.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:1
20.09.23	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2
02.02.23	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	3:1
21.07.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	0:0
26.01.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	0:3

Upcoming Matches