Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)

Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Tlaxcala		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	2.08	3.45	3.1
	1.91	3.75	3.81
	1.97	3.51	3.60	Watch
	2	3.3	3.2
	2.08	3.45	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.07)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
45.9%

Draw
26.6%

Correcaminos UAT
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nuno A. (G) 9. Christian 5. Esnaider F. 4. Fabio Erins 6. Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 2. Gonzalez P. 8. Plascencia F. (C) 24. Robles E. 31. Silva J. 15. Tejeda D. 10. Viniegra A.	1. Castellanos R. (G) 5. Capeluto J. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 8. Garcia J. 17. Garcia J. 10. Hernandez E. 27. Martinez J. 13. Moreno G. 2. Pineda I. 31. Salas F. 91. Sarmiento M.
Substitutes
22. Guerrero H. 12. Lazaro J. 7. Leandro Carvalho 13. Mendoza H. (G) 34. Morales A. 3. Palma L. 23. Partida F. 11. Salomon O. 16. Solis E. 21. Zaragoza A.	88. Aguilar A. 104. Arce R. 35. Chavez L. (G) 11. Espinosa Y. 20. Estopier J. 28. Lopez M. 6. Martinez J. 15. Mengual A. 19. Trevino S. 30. Villareal A.
Coaches
Fabian M.	Eugui H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Fabio Erins 🟨,
41', Sarmiento M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sarmiento M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Salas F. ⚽, Hernandez E. (A),
56', Robles E. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
56', Fabio Erins ↓, Palma L. ↑,
64', Tejeda D. ↓, Guerrero H. ↑,
64', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
65', Moreno G. 🟨,
69', Moreno G. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
69', Esnaider F. ↓, Leandro Carvalho ↑,
69', Hernandez E. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
78', Salas F. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
78', Pineda I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
85', Silva J. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽, Trevino S. (A),
90+6', Zaragoza A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.

Tlaxcala might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.25	Irapuato - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Cancún - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tlaxcala - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Venados - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT	4:0 ✺
03.04.25	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.01.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	1:1
03.08.24	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	3:2
01.03.24	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	1:1
01.11.23	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:1
21.04.23	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:0
23.08.22	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	0:2
24.03.22	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	4:0

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