Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
Colombia	13:00	Disney+
Mexico	12:00	AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 4
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	Aym Sports
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+


	Tlaxcala		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.10
	2.05	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.09	4.15	3.04
	1.94	3.97	3.37	Watch
	2.05	4.1	3
	2.05	3.89	3.09	Watch
	1.95	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.99)	3.84 ↓ (3.89)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
46.1%

Draw
24%

Correcaminos UAT
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

24%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bedolla P. (G) 1. Govea I. (C) 12. Freyfeld J. 21. Garcia E. 3. Santos E. 6. Iniestra A. 25. Flores B. 16. Ramirez M. 24. Robles E. 7. Hernandez E. 11. Alvarez D.	1. Perez E. (G) 2. Ortega W. 22. Di Pippa A. 3. Perez O. 19. Catalan A. 7. Islas O. 10. Guzman W. 25. Torres E. (C) 11. Uribe Y. 13. Moreno G. 33. Mina D.
Substitutes
26. Blanco J. 19. Camacho Lastra R. E. 9. Christian 2. Gonzalez C. 23. Gonzalez P. 28. Hernandez D. 31. Hernandez R. 30. Nuno A. (G) 8. Plascencia F. 17. Zamudio J.	28. Arce R. 20. Estopier J. 82. Garcia Gonzalez I. P. (G) 23. Gonzalez R. 29. Mendoza B. 5. Monarrez A. 6. Ruiz A. 32. Sandoval T. 14. Sosa C. 8. Torres D.
Coaches
Ortega A.	Pereyra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Robles E. ⚽, Flores B. (A),
45', Ortega W. 🟨,
45+3', Alvarez D. 🟨,
45+6', Iniestra A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guzman W. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
46', Catalan A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Robles E. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Hernandez E. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
65', Alvarez D. ↓, Christian ↑,
65', Govea I. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
65', Mina D. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
71', Ramirez M. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
79', Uribe Y. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
81', Flores B. 🟥,
84', Iniestra A. ↓, Plascencia F. ↑,
84', Catalan A. ↓, Arce R. ↑,
87', Arce R. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.

In recent outings, Tlaxcala has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Correcaminos has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tlaxcala holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Tlaxcala has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:10 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tlaxcala against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tlaxcala	14	5	4	5	27:27	0	19
12	Correcaminos	14	4	4	6	21:24	-3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.10.26	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Tlaxcala - Piratas de Veracruz	4:2 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tlaxcala - Cancún	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Tapatío - Tlaxcala	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWTWL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.10.26	Correcaminos UAT - Dorados	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Correcaminos UAT - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Correcaminos UAT - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	2:1
24.08.25	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:2
16.01.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	1:1
03.08.24	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	3:2
01.03.24	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	1:1
01.11.23	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:1
21.04.23	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	0:0

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