Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz (Zacatepec)

Referee: Barba A. (Mex)


	Atlante		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.41	4.25	6.9
	1.4	4.62	7.89
	1.4	4.66	7.45	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.36	4.3	7.6	Watch
	1.35	4.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.3 ↑ (4.11)	7.26 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
66%

Draw
21.3%

Tapatío
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlante - Tapatío Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Beltran R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 9. Puente L.	201. Liceaga J. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 192. Hernandez C. 225. Inda C. 48. Jimenez L. 49. Moragrega V. 43. Parra R. 62. Tellez B. 69. Villaseca D. 44. Zamora S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Alonzo J. 1. Barragan R. (G) 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I. 17. Mejia L. 24. Pizzuto E. 20. Tovar J.	46. Egurrola L. 55. Esparza S. 54. Freyfeld E. 57. Hernandez J. 60. Ledesma L. 51. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 50. Medina C. 47. Ortiz G. 58. Uribe J.
Coaches
Carbajal R.	Melendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Parra R. ⚽, Moragrega V. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Moragrega V. ⚽, Aguayo S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
46', Cruz D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Inda C. 🟨,
48', 1 - 2, Puente L. ⚽,
55', Inda C. ↓, Ledesma L. ↑,
55', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
56', 1 - 3, Ledesma L. ⚽, Aguayo S. (A),
61', Bermudez C. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
61', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
68', Moragrega V. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
68', Aguayo S. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
78', Escobar A. 🟨,
78', Escobar A. 🟨,
79', Jimenez L. 🟨,
83', Villaseca D. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
83', Jimenez E. ↓, Alonzo J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 2.

In this match, Atlante is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tapatio	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.01.26	Atlante - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Pachuca - Atlante	0:4 ✺
19.12.25	Santos Laguna - Atlante	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.11.25	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWT
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.26	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Tapatío - Venados	4:2 ✺
09.01.26	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tapatío - Dorados	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Tapatío - Atlante	3:0
19.03.25	Tapatío - Atlante	1:1
04.10.24	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1
05.05.24	Atlante - Tapatío	5:1
02.05.24	Tapatío - Atlante	0:3
02.04.24	Tapatío - Atlante	0:0
30.09.23	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1

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