Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tapatío		Venados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.55	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.81	2.54	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.5	3.81	2.46	Watch
	2.36	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.11)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	2.56 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapatío
38.7%

Draw
25.4%

Venados
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Tapatío - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
201. Liceaga J. (G) 56. Chavez A. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 192. Hernandez C. 225. Inda S. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 49. Moragrega V. 62. Tellez B. 69. Villaseca D. 44. Zamora S. (C)	28. Delgado A. (G) 18. Amador K. 7. Calero J. 2. Casillas J. 10. Dominguez A. 4. Grijalva A. 5. Lanchi 29. Lora S. 17. Martinez J. 15. Navarrete D. 25. Trejo Castro M. A. (C)
Substitutes
46. Egurrola L. 55. Esparza S. 54. Freyfeld E. 57. Hernandez J. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 43. Parra R. 58. Uribe J.	19. Ballesteros O. 143. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 9. Derbez L. 16. Espinosa E. 3. Levin J. 21. Lopez C. 27. Ramirez S. (G) 24. Salcido J. 30. Torres Sauri M.
Coaches
Melendez J.	Garcia I. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Villaseca D. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Lanchi ⚽, Casillas J. (A),
15', Dominguez A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Villaseca D. ⚽, Ledesma L. (A),
45', Calero J. 🟨,
45+2', Lora S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Lanchi ⚽,
57', Villaseca D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
58', Lanchi 🟨,
71', Grijalva A. 🟨,
72', Zamora S. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
72', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
72', Lora S. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Trejo Castro M. A. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Moragrega V. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
84', Grijalva A. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
90+1', Moragrega V. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
90+3', Ledesma L. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
90+5', Amador K. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 2, Hernandez J. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
90+8', Hernandez J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 1.

Tapatío is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
10	Tapatio	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.01.26	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tapatío - Dorados	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Irapuato - Tapatío	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLT
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.01.26	Venados - Irapuato	4:1 ✺
06.11.25	Venados - Tlaxcala	5:1 ✺
02.11.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Venados	1:0 ✺
23.10.25	Venados - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Atlante - Venados	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3
05.03.25	Venados - Tapatío	4:2
27.09.24	Tapatío - Venados	2:2
10.01.24	Tapatío - Venados	0:2
29.08.23	Venados - Tapatío	2:1
22.03.23	Venados - Tapatío	0:0
29.09.22	Tapatío - Venados	1:0

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