Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Atlas		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	2	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	3.55	3.45	1.98	Watch
	3.89	3.67	1.98
	3.18	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.57	3.54	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.81)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.01 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
26.3%

Draw
26.9%

Pachuca
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	21.4%	78.6%

Atlas - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (G) 218. San Martin J. 44. Pier R. 23. Orrantia C. 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 26. Rocha A. (C) 11. Gonzalez D. 58. Gonzalez A. 19. Aguirre E. 32. Djurdjevic U.	25. Moreno C. (C) 24. Rodriguez L. 3. Aceves A. 5. Pedraza P. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 8. Guzman V. 28. Montiel E. 99. Cadiz J. 32. Togni G. 18. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 183. Blanco L. 7. Coccaro M. 10. del Prete G. 8. Garcia M. E. 199. Hernandez S. 5. Matheus Doria 16. Ramirez A. 21. Robles C. 22. Sanchez A. (G)	16. Alemao 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 9. Hernandez I. 11. Idrissi O. 29. Kenedy 23. Quinones L. 14. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Pineda G.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Togni G. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Aceves A. ⚽, Guzman V. (A),
42', 0 - 3, Barreto S. D. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orrantia C. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
54', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
60', Cadiz J. ↓, Alemao ↑,
60', Togni G. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
61', Moreno C. 🟨,
61', Coccaro M. 🟨,
70', Dominguez A. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
71', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
72', Aguirre E. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
72', Dominguez A. ↓, Idrissi O. ↑,
72', Guzman V. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
72', Rodriguez L. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
83', Pedraza P. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez A. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.

Atlas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pachuca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.

Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Lozano J. (Red Card) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Mora A. (Injury) Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury) Rios De Alba V. H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Pachuca - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Atlanta United - Atlas	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Orlando City - Atlas	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Inter Miami - Atlas	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Monterrey - Atlas	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- CF Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Los Angeles - Pachuca	2:1 penalties ✺
29.07.25	Pachuca - San Diego	3:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	UNAM - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
01.02.25	Pachuca - Atlas	0:0
13.09.24	Atlas - Pachuca	2:0
31.01.24	Pachuca - Atlas	4:3
01.11.23	Atlas - Pachuca	0:2
15.04.23	Atlas - Pachuca	4:1
25.08.22	Pachuca - Atlas	3:1
29.05.22	Pachuca - Atlas	2:1

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